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As expected the BoE kept its powder dry following August’s rate hike. Meanwhile, the ECB remains on course to halt QE by year-end but tame inflation suggests a rate hike is some way off. In contrast, the Fed looks odds on to tighten policy further later this month.
The US economy is humming and wage pressures are building, keeping the Fed on track for another modest tightening in September. UK growth, however, remains lacklustre with manufacturing in the doldrums. A BoE rate hike appears a distant prospect.
A fresh Parliamentary term but the top agenda item is most definitely familiar. Brexit will again be all-consuming in the coming months, and far beyond.
The UK’s encouraging fiscal position provides Chancellor Hammond with more room for manoeuvre in his upcoming autumn statement.
Employment rose 42k in Q2.
According to the latest Royal Bank of Scotland Report on Jobs for Scotland, permanent staff placements increased sharply during July.
The latest Coutts London Prime Property Index shows that luxury London property is still a buyer’s market with low prices and high discounts, but that could be starting to change.
The latest Royal Bank of Scotland Scottish Business Monitor shows companies are feeling the impact of inflationary pressures.
The economic data is hinting at an impact from trade tensions. But it’s very modest, so far at least.
The labour market continues to strengthen but wage growth refuses to escape its sluggish trajectory.