Interest and exchange rate forecast


Interest and exchange rate forecast

Ready, steady, taper

Economic Analysis

10 January 2014

The US Federal Reserve gave markets an early Christmas present with its decision in December to begin 'tapering' its quantitative easing programme. With last year's government spending cuts out of the way, the US appears primed for a year of strong economic growth, which should support the dollar against sterling.

The big news at home is the significant improvement in the labour market. As the unemployment rate edges ever closer to the Bank of England's 7% forward guidance threshold, we have brought forward our timing of the first interest rate rise. Meanwhile, across the Channel, the European Central Bank remains ready to act should the inflationary environment deteriorate much further.

interest-and-exchange-rate-forecast.pdf
Download the full forecast (PDF 67KB)

Latest news

Royal Bank of Scotland hosts ‘Easy Wins Live’ event

The event explored today’s ‘always on’ world and the pressure Scots face as they struggle to balance life inside and outside of work.

To win the fight against fraud and scams, it is vital to educate young people.

Primary school children in Currie, Edinburgh put on their detective hats last week to learn more about fraud and scams thanks to the Royal Bank of Scotland MoneySense programme. Les Matheson, CEO of Personal Banking, tells us why it’s so important to financially educate young people.

New NatWest debit cards now accessible for all customers

New card features are being rolled out from today with all cards having a notch and raised dots.

Set Tab for lightbox