It’s time for a check-up

It’s time for a check-up

Emerging market vulnerabilities in a world of rising US interest rates.

Economic Analysis

03 December 2013

Which emerging markets are vulnerable in a world of rising US interest rates?

  • Emerging markets have entered a new world. The US appears to be on a path of higher interest rates as the economy gradually recovers (recent debt ceiling issues aside)
  • And because US monetary policy sets the tone for much of the world, some emerging markets are going to find life a bit more difficult. We have undertaken an economic health-check of 22 emerging markets to see which are most vulnerable to rising US rates
  • There are a number of high profile emerging markets in our most vulnerable grouping, including South Africa, India, Indonesia and Turkey
  • Investors should consider the risks that their portfolios are exposed to in this new world. Businesses should understand the consequences of slower growth for their plans and whether their cashflows requrie new hedging strategies

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